关于SONY退出主机产业的话，是野村证券的Yuta Sakurai说的,
原文如下：

“The appointment of Hirai could be the start of a shift from hardware to software，I cannot now imagine a PlayStation4.”

顺带提一下，Yuta Sakurai曾经在8月发表过一个报告，认为PS3将在次世代中大胜

引用：

引用:

     开发商喜欢，许多游戏玩家在热切地期盼它，但这仍然不足以使任天堂的Wii游戏机在新一轮游戏机大战中落在索尼PlayStation 3游戏机的后面。
     
    据外电报道称，这是日本野村证券公司知名分析师Yuta Sakurai的看法。他认为，PS3的销售量将比Wii高出60%。到2011年，PS3的销售量将达到7100万部，而Wii的销售量只有约4000万部。
     
    如果Sakurai的预测准确的话，这对于任天堂来说并非全是坏事。首先，这意味着与这一代游戏机大战相比，任天堂蚕食了索尼的市场份额。Sakurai感觉Wii的独特魅力在于有吸引力的游戏开发商，他说，软件开发商对于为任天堂的平台开发游戏越来越有兴趣了。
     
    但是，Sakurai仍然认为索尼更有优势。他说，铁杆游戏玩家可能更喜欢PS3强大的处理能力，Wii的销售不可能超过PS3。

此一时，彼一时？

http://headlines.yahoo.co.jp/hl?a=20061201-00000111-reu-int

★ソニー<6758.T>、ゲーム子会社のソニー・コンピュータエンタテインメント（ＳＣＥ）の久多良木健社長が会長に就任。昇格人事ではあるが、久多良木氏は日々の業務運営から離れることに。ソニーがビデオゲームのハードウエア製造から撤退する前兆との見方も浮上。［東京］

Analyst: "I cannot imagine a PlayStation 4"

Nomura Securities' Yuta Sakurai believes the PS3 will be Sony's last console; sees Hirai appointment as Sega-like shift to software.


In the months leading up to the launch of the PlayStation 3 and Wii, barely a week went by without one analyst or another issuing proclamations of doom or promises of riches for both Sony and Nintendo. Now that both consoles are on the market, many investment firms' in-house game-industry experts are giving their assessments of the two companies' fortunes.

The prognostication reached a fever pitch today, when Sony Computer Entertainment (SCE) shuffled its executive lineup. Sony Computer Entertainment America (SCEA) president Kaz Hirai took over the position of SCE president Ken Kutaragi, who was promoted to SCE chairman and retained the title of SCE group CEO. Hirai will also be SCE's chief operating officer, and will relocate to Sony's Tokyo headquarters from SCEA's HQ in Foster City, California.

While Sony spun the changes as a "strengthening" of its executive team, many analysts saw it as a vote of no confidence for Kutaragi's stewardship of the PlayStation 3. The high-tech console's blu-ray laser drive has been plagued by component manufacturing woes, which drastically limited supply of the console for its Japanese and North American launches, and delayed its European debut until 2007.

Some analysts went one step further, taking Hirai's succession as a harbinger of doom. No one was more pessimistic than Nomura Securities' Yuta Sakurai, who made the astounding prediction that the PlayStation 3 would be the last console Sony, the current console market-share leader, would ever make.

"The appointment of Hirai could be the start of a shift from hardware to software," said Sakurai. "I cannot now imagine a PlayStation 4." According to the Financial Times, Sakurai's reasoning is that "Hirai’s new global portfolio puts a predominantly software-focused manager in charge of the company." His logic is reportedly that, with the emphasis moving to software, Sony would go the way of Sega, transforming from a console-maker to a mere game publisher.

Critics were quick to point out that, despite its problems, Sony is primarily an electronics manufacturer, and has invested billions in the research and development of the PS3's technology. Despite the hyperbolic tone of Sakurai's comments, SCEA publicity chief Dave Karraker issued a polite response. "Following the launch of the PlayStation 3 just a few weeks ago, and witnessing the huge consumer demand for the product, I think it would be rather short-sighted for anyone to predict there might not be a next generation of PlayStation product," he told GameSpot.

http://www.gamespot.com/news/6162560.html

[ 本帖最后由 tansung 于 2006-12-1 17:00 编辑 ]